There is nothing like a scorned quarterback who is playing out of his mind in his first 3 matchups as Tom Brady amassed 9 touchdowns along with 1,092 yards. The Patriot passer has averaged just 227 yards and 1.7 TDs in his last 3 games against the Colts. With the Colts’ run defense better this year than it’s been the last few, look for their run game to be somewhat limited forcing Brady to throw more.
Indianapolis’s bomber has tossed 10 INTs in 4 career meetings with the Patriots. However, Luck also topped 300 yards and thrown 2 TDs in 3 of them. T.Y. Hilton accumulated only 4 catches for 60 scoreless yards in 2 games against New England last year. But this year’s Patriots don’t have CB Darrelle Revis. Hilton heads into this one with 88+ yards in 3 of 5 games. He showed up on Friday’s injury report with a groin, so keep an eye on his status.
New England is very beatable on the ground, sitting 25th in run defense rankings and allowing 4.5 yards per carry to RBs. Look for Gore to be a major part of the Colts’ game plan tonight.
| OFF A WIN AGAINST A DIVISION RIVAL | ||
| This season SU: 2-0 | ATS: 1-1 |
Last 3 seaons SU: 10-4 | ATS: 9-5 |
Since 1993 SU: 62-35 | ATS: 55-41 |
| AFTER 2 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE WINS | ||
| This season SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 |
Last 3 seaons SU: 10-6 | ATS: 8-7 |
Since 1993 SU: 97-45 | ATS: 75-63 |
| WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A WINNING RECORD | ||
| This season SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 |
Last 3 seaons SU: 11-7 | ATS: 9-8 |
Since 1993 SU: 94-79 | ATS: 94-75 |
| IN WEEKS 5 THROUGH 9 | ||
| This season SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 |
Last 3 seaons SU: 8-2 | ATS: 8-2 |
Since 1993 SU: 63-41 | ATS: 52-49 |
The Bottom Line: Indianapolis now has a solid ground attack.
Selection: Indianapolis +9.5
